probability derived
x402-factory.comMarket dataderived
GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/probability/:slug
malformedlisted in Coinbase#99 by calls of 188 on this host
0.02 USDC
per call, as the listing declares it on eip155:
- Validation state
- malformed
- Uptime, 7 / 30 / 90 days
- 0% / 0% / 0%
- Calls, trailing 30 days
- 1
- Unique payers, trailing 30 days
- 1
- Last called
- 2026-10-01 13:11 UTC
- First observed by TOLLderived
- 2026-09-10
- Pricederived
- 0.02 USDC
- Networks
- 1
How big is this endpoint among the ones like it?
No trace is drawn of this endpoint’s own volume. Its counters have changed 2 times across 122 observations, and 3 changes are the fewest this site will draw a trace through, because two points and a guess are not a series. Every observation is in the JSON.
probability answered the sweep of 2026-10-19 with a 402 that failed the required check parse.
For probability the failing check asks whether the discovery extension parsed.
probability, a GET endpoint on x402-factory.com, appears in the Coinbase registry; TOLL's taxonomy puts it in market data.
On Base, probability asks 0.02 USDC per call.
Requests carry the path parameter slug.
A response from probability, as declared, includes data and meta.
The registry counted one call from one payer in the trailing 30 days.
probability was last called 12 days before the snapshot.
Among the 188 endpoints on x402-factory.com, probability is tied 99th by calls with 89 others.
probability is priced above 72% of comparable listings in market data.
Closest in price to probability within market data: activities smarttraders smartmoney at x402.sniperx.fun and stonk alerts invoke at api.solenrich.com.
The wallet paid by probability is the payee of 208 endpoints across 2 hosts.
The seller's tags on probability are prediction, probability, kalshi and polymarket.
Exactly this price appears on 811 other listings in market data.
the payment options, as of 2026-10-13 14:08 UTC · method · pinnable
| registry | network | asset | amount | scheme | pay to |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coinbase | eip155: | USDC | 0.02 USDC | exact | 0xCc42Ed…Fb305f |
the checks, as of 2026-10-19 12:33 UTC · method · pinnableendpoint answered HTTP 402
parse· the discovery extension parsed
Every sweep that observed this endpoint, newest first.
| observed, UTC | state | failed checks | sweep |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 12:33 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-19 |
| 2026-10-16 10:16 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-16 |
| 2026-10-15 12:15 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-15 |
| 2026-10-14 10:08 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-14 |
| 2026-10-13 15:27 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-13 |
| 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-12 |
| 2026-10-11 11:05 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-11 |
| 2026-10-10 19:15 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-10 |
| 2026-10-09 12:54 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-09 |
| 2026-10-08 14:48 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-08 |
| 2026-10-07 13:58 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-07 |
| 2026-10-06 14:27 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-06 |
| 2026-10-05 12:38 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-05 |
| 2026-10-04 15:05 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-04 |
| 2026-10-03 08:13 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-03 |
| 2026-10-02 17:20 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-01 09:58 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-10-01 |
| 2026-09-30 09:25 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-30 |
| 2026-09-29 21:30 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-29 |
| 2026-09-23 08:23 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-23 |
| 2026-09-22 08:36 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-22 |
| 2026-09-21 08:57 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-21 |
| 2026-09-19 06:54 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-19 |
| 2026-09-17 06:46 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-17 |
| 2026-09-16 06:43 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-16 |
| 2026-09-15 06:59 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-15 |
| 2026-09-14 06:26 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-14 |
| 2026-09-13 06:16 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-13 |
| 2026-09-12 09:10 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-12 |
| 2026-09-11 14:44 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-11 |
Presence in a registry, not liveness of the service (method). Newest first.
- listed in Coinbase
From the registry record, not validated by TOLL.the declared schema, as of 2026-10-01 13:11 UTC · method · live
The input and output block
{
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"pathParams": {
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09"
},
"queryParams": {}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
"category": "economics",
"question": "Will the Fed cut rates at the September 2026 FOMC meeting?",
"per_venue": [
{
"venue": "kalshi",
"implied_p": 0.7359,
"market_id": "KXFEDRATECUT2026",
"volume_24h_usd": 204455.43,
"liquidity_score": 0.947
},
{
"venue": "polymarket",
"implied_p": 0.7264,
"market_id": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
"volume_24h_usd": 249729.17,
"liquidity_score": 0.98
}
],
"divergence": 0.0095,
"probability": 0.7301,
"last_move_1h": -0.001,
"resolution_date": "2026-09-16",
"resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if the target range upper bound is lowered at the Sep 15–16 meeting."
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.get",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/probability/{slug}",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-09-29T05:40:59.299Z"
}
}
}
}Cite this page
The pinned URL below renders this page from the snapshot of 2026-10-13 14:08 UTC and does not change; the live page does, every six hours. Data reuse is under CC BY 4.0 (terms).
Plain text
TOLL, "probability on x402-factory.com", snapshot of 2026-10-13 14:08 UTC. https://tollindex.com/e/x402-factory-com-v1-probability-slug-f16dbe/at/2026-10-13T14-08Z. Accessed [access date].
BibTeX
@misc{toll-e-x402-factory-com-v1-probability-slug-f16dbe-2026-10-13T14-08Z,
author = {TOLL},
title = {probability on x402-factory.com},
howpublished = {\url{https://tollindex.com/e/x402-factory-com-v1-probability-slug-f16dbe/at/2026-10-13T14-08Z}},
year = {2026},
month = {10},
note = {Pinned view of the snapshot of 2026-10-13 14:08 UTC. Accessed [access date].}
}None yet. Anything submitted through the form below is published here with its outcome.