probability derived
x402-factory.comMarket dataderived
GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/probability/:slug
malformedlisted in Coinbase#73 by calls of 202 on this host
0.02 USDC
per call, as the listing declares it on eip155:
- Validation state
- malformed
- Uptime, 7 / 30 / 90 days
- 0% / 0% / 0%
- Calls, trailing 30 days
- 1
- Unique payers, trailing 30 days
- 1
- Last called
- 2026-09-01 13:21 UTC
- First observed by TOLLderived
- 2026-09-10
- Pricederived
- 0.02 USDC
- Networks
- 1
How big is this endpoint among the ones like it?
No trace is drawn of this endpoint’s own volume. Its counters have changed 2 times across 28 observations, and 3 changes are the fewest this site will draw a trace through, because two points and a guess are not a series. Every observation is in the JSON.
The sweep of 2026-09-15 got a payment challenge that did not pass the required check parse.
For probability the failing check asks whether the discovery extension parsed.
TOLL files probability under market data: a GET endpoint on x402-factory.com, listed in the Coinbase registry.
A call to probability costs 0.02 USDC on Base, as declared.
Its declared inputs are the path parameter slug.
probability returns json; the example shows data and meta.
In the trailing 30 days: one call, one payer.
probability was last called 14 days before the snapshot.
Of x402-factory.com's 202 listings, probability ranks tied 73rd by calls with 129 others.
64% of the 5,260 comparable listings in market data are cheaper.
probability sits nearest in price to liquidations btc (kronossignals.com) and analyze (svm402.com) among listings in market data.
The wallet paid by probability is the payee of 204 endpoints across 2 hosts.
Seller tags: prediction, probability, kalshi and polymarket.
469 other listings in market data declare exactly the same price.
the payment options, as of 2026-09-15 16:57 UTC · method · pinnable
| registry | network | asset | amount | scheme | pay to |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coinbase | eip155: | USDC | 0.02 USDC | exact | 0xCc42Ed…Fb305f |
the checks, as of 2026-09-15 06:59 UTC · method · pinnableendpoint answered HTTP 402
parse· the discovery extension parsed
Every sweep that observed this endpoint, newest first.
| observed, UTC | state | failed checks | sweep |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 06:59 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-15 |
| 2026-09-14 06:26 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-14 |
| 2026-09-13 06:16 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-13 |
| 2026-09-12 09:10 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-12 |
| 2026-09-11 14:44 UTC | malformed | 1 | daily-2026-09-11 |
Presence in a registry, not liveness of the service (method). Newest first.
- listed in Coinbase
From the registry record, not validated by TOLL.the declared schema, as of 2026-09-01 13:21 UTC · method · live
The input and output block
{
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"pathParams": {
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09"
},
"queryParams": {}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
"category": "economics",
"question": "Will the Fed cut rates at the September 2026 FOMC meeting?",
"per_venue": [
{
"venue": "kalshi",
"implied_p": 0.7359,
"market_id": "KXFEDRATECUT2026",
"volume_24h_usd": 204455.43,
"liquidity_score": 0.947
},
{
"venue": "polymarket",
"implied_p": 0.7264,
"market_id": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
"volume_24h_usd": 249729.17,
"liquidity_score": 0.98
}
],
"divergence": 0.0095,
"probability": 0.7301,
"last_move_1h": -0.001,
"resolution_date": "2026-09-16",
"resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if the target range upper bound is lowered at the Sep 15–16 meeting."
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.get",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/probability/{slug}",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-09-01T09:36:55.050Z"
}
}
}
}Cite this page
The pinned URL below renders this page from the snapshot of 2026-09-15 16:57 UTC and does not change; the live page does, every six hours. Data reuse is under CC BY 4.0 (terms).
Plain text
TOLL, "probability on x402-factory.com", snapshot of 2026-09-15 16:57 UTC. https://tollindex.com/e/x402-factory-com-v1-probability-slug-f16dbe/at/2026-09-15T16-57Z. Accessed [access date].
BibTeX
@misc{toll-e-x402-factory-com-v1-probability-slug-f16dbe-2026-09-15T16-57Z,
author = {TOLL},
title = {probability on x402-factory.com},
howpublished = {\url{https://tollindex.com/e/x402-factory-com-v1-probability-slug-f16dbe/at/2026-09-15T16-57Z}},
year = {2026},
month = {9},
note = {Pinned view of the snapshot of 2026-09-15 16:57 UTC. Accessed [access date].}
}None yet. Anything submitted through the form below is published here with its outcome.