water supply brief derived

{
  "input": {
    "type": "http",
    "method": "GET",
    "queryParams": {
      "lang": "en",
      "state": "AZ"
    }
  },
  "output": {
    "type": "json",
    "example": {
      "risk_rating": {
        "max": 100,
        "note": "Supply risk elevated by Colorado River shortage but substantially mitigated by groundwater banking program and diversified portfolio",
        "score": 52,
        "rating": "Moderate"
      },
      "query_summary": {
        "state": "AZ",
        "location": "Phoenix AZ",
        "report_date": "2026-06-07"
      },
      "supply_overview": {
        "storage_pct": 40,
        "primary_source": "Colorado River (CAP) — 36% | Salt River Project reservoirs — 32% | Groundwater — 22% | Recycled water — 10%",
        "shortage_active": true,
        "shortage_detail": "Tier 2b Colorado River shortage — Arizona receives 21% CAP cut (512,000 acre-feet shortfall); Lake Mead 38% full, Lake Powell 42% full"
      },
      "utility_outlook": {
        "reserve_note": "Phoenix has been banking Colorado River water underground since 1996 — 2.7M acre-feet stored",
        "reserve_years": 100,
        "rate_trajectory": "Rates expected to increase 6-8% annually through 2028 to fund water security investments"
      },
      "five_year_outlook": "Manageable under current trajectory. Key risk: Lake Mead falling below elevation 895 (Tier 3 shortage) would trigger additional 17% CAP reduction not currently priced into utility plans.",
      "current_restrictions": {
        "stage": "Stage 2 Voluntary + Tier 1 Mandatory",
        "car_washing": "Commercial only, recirculating systems required",
        "new_development": "100-year assured water supply certification suspended for new subdivisions in Scottsdale",
        "outdoor_irrigation": "Limited to 3 days/week, 6am-8am"
      },
      "infrastructure_investment": "$1.2B committed 2025-2030: direct potable reuse plant (180MGD), wastewater reclamation expansion, groundwater recharge infrastructure"
    }
  }
}