econsignal inflation signals derived

{
  "input": {
    "type": "http",
    "method": "GET",
    "queryParams": {
      "iso2": "TR",
      "iso3": "TUR",
      "lang": "en",
      "country": "Turkey"
    }
  },
  "output": {
    "type": "json",
    "errors": {
      "400": {
        "example": {
          "error": "invalid request"
        },
        "description": "Invalid or missing parameter(s). Returned before the payment gate on paid requests, so a malformed call is never charged. JSON body: { error: <what is wrong and how to fix it> } plus usage hints."
      },
      "402": {
        "description": "Payment required — x402 v2 challenge; the accepts array lists scheme, network, and amount. Retry the same request with a PAYMENT-SIGNATURE (v2) or X-PAYMENT (v1) header. Verification is free."
      },
      "500": {
        "example": {
          "error": "upstream_failed"
        },
        "description": "Unexpected server error. If a payment settled without a usable result, contact info@theaslangroupllc.com with the settlement tx hash for a re-run or credit."
      }
    },
    "example": {
      "imf_forecast": {
        "year_2025": 28,
        "year_2026": 19
      },
      "official_cpi": [
        {
          "year": "2024",
          "inflation_pct": 58.5
        },
        {
          "year": "2023",
          "inflation_pct": 64.3
        },
        {
          "year": "2022",
          "inflation_pct": 72.3
        }
      ],
      "query_summary": {
        "iso2": "TR",
        "iso3": "TUR",
        "country": "Turkey"
      },
      "monetary_policy": {
        "stance": "Tight but still negative real rate — disinflation will be slow",
        "real_rate_pct": -13.5,
        "policy_rate_pct": 45,
        "central_bank_credibility": "Moderate — TCMB independence improved post-2023 election but political pressure risk remains"
      },
      "alternative_signals": {
        "fx_depreciation": "TRY lost 18% vs USD YTD 2025 — import cost passthrough ongoing",
        "parallel_market": "No significant parallel FX market; TCMB FX reserves rebuilding",
        "food_price_index": "Turkish food prices rising 61% YoY in Q1 2025 — above headline CPI",
        "truflation_estimate": "52-65% range based on web scraped basket"
      },
      "disinflation_outlook": "Turkey on track for 30-35% inflation by end-2025 under current tight policy. Risk: early rate cuts before inflation anchored."
    }
  }
}