{"api":"v1","generated_at":"2026-09-15T19:12:39.088Z","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"TOLL, with a link to the page cited"},"page":"https://tollindex.com/e/x402-factory-com-v1-movers-politics-us-759aff","pinned_page":"https://tollindex.com/e/x402-factory-com-v1-movers-politics-us-759aff/at/2026-09-15T16-57Z","pinned":false,"method":"https://tollindex.com/ledger/method","snapshot_at":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","snapshot_stamp":"2026-09-15T16-57Z","endpoint":{"slug":"x402-factory-com-v1-movers-politics-us-759aff","canonical_url":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us","resource":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us","http_method":"GET","type":"http","x402_version":2,"registries":["cdp"],"primary_registry":"cdp","curated_by_coinbase":false,"description":"Biggest US politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in US politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to US politics markets.","service_name":"x402-factory","declared_category":null,"declared_tags":["movers","politics-us","probability","alerts"],"route_template":null,"registry_updated":"2026-09-01T13:22:29.619Z"},"derived":{"note":"fields no registry supplies; TOLL derives them and marks them derived on the page","title":"movers politics us","category":"market-data","first_observed_by_toll":"2026-09-10T19:08:24.178Z","last_observed_by_toll":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","observation_began":"2026-09-10"},"presence":{"listed_now":true,"first_absent_at":null,"delisting_confirmed_at":null,"events":[{"registry":"cdp","at":"2026-09-10T19:08:24.178Z","event":"listed"}]},"accepts":[{"registry":"cdp","ordinal":0,"network":"eip155:8453","asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","asset_name":"USD Coin","symbol":"USDC","decimals":6,"amount_display":"0.02 USDC","amount_units":0.02,"decimals_known":true,"pay_to":"0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f","scheme":"exact"}],"counters":{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","calls_30d":1,"unique_payers_30d":1,"last_called_at":"2026-09-01T13:22:29.249Z"},"validation":{"latest":{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T05:32:11.127Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"endpoint_http_status":402,"run_id":"daily-2026-09-15"},"uptime":[{"days":7,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1},{"days":30,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1},{"days":90,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1}],"history_90d":[{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T05:32:11.127Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-15","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-14T05:05:51.126Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-14","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-13T05:02:13.965Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-13","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-12T07:18:16.347Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-12","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-11T10:59:24.194Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-11","state_changed":true}]},"seller":{"wallet":"0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f","page":"https://tollindex.com/seller/0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f","endpoints":204,"hosts":2},"reports":0,"registry_record":{"cdp":[{"tags":["movers","politics-us","probability","alerts"],"type":"http","accepts":[{"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","extra":{"name":"USD Coin","version":"2"},"payTo":"0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f","amount":"20000","scheme":"exact","network":"eip155:8453","maxTimeoutSeconds":120}],"quality":{"lastCalledAt":"2026-09-01T13:22:29.249Z","l30DaysTotalCalls":1,"l30DaysUniquePayers":1},"resource":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us","extensions":{"bazaar":{"info":{"input":{"type":"http","method":"GET","queryParams":{"limit":10,"window":"24h"}},"output":{"type":"json","example":{"data":{"movers":[{"slug":"republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11","delta":0.022,"p_now":0.5834,"p_prev":0.5614,"category":"politics","question":"Will Republicans hold the House in the 2026 midterms?","volume_surge_ratio":0.97},{"slug":"venezuela-opposition-wins-election-2026-12","delta":-0.0176,"p_now":0.4304,"p_prev":0.448,"category":"politics","question":"Will the opposition candidate win Venezuela's December election?","volume_surge_ratio":0.97},{"slug":"government-shutdown-october-2026","delta":0.0106,"p_now":0.2571,"p_prev":0.2465,"category":"politics","question":"Will there be a US government shutdown at the October 2026 funding deadline?","volume_surge_ratio":0.99},{"slug":"nyc-mayor-incumbent-wins-2026-11","delta":-0.0048,"p_now":0.6494,"p_prev":0.6542,"category":"politics","question":"Will the incumbent win the NYC mayoral election?","volume_surge_ratio":1.05},{"slug":"democrats-win-senate-midterms-2026-11","delta":-0.0008,"p_now":0.2978,"p_prev":0.2986,"category":"politics","question":"Will Democrats win Senate control in the 2026 midterms?","volume_surge_ratio":1.02},{"slug":"republican-wins-presidency-2028","delta":-0.0004,"p_now":0.5049,"p_prev":0.5054,"category":"politics","question":"Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?","volume_surge_ratio":1.03},{"slug":"us-government-shutdown-2026-10","delta":0,"p_now":0.2712,"p_prev":0.2711,"category":"politics","question":"Will the US government shut down on October 1?","volume_surge_ratio":0.98}]},"meta":{"docs":"https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.politics-us","sources":["kalshi","polymarket"],"version":"1.0.0","endpoint":"/v1/movers/politics-us","data_mode":"live","freshness":"realtime","request_id":"req_00000000","generated_at":"2026-09-01T09:36:55.188Z"}}}},"schema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","required":[],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":50,"minimum":1},"window":{"enum":["1h","6h","24h"],"type":"string","default":"24h"},"category":{"enum":["politics","economics","weather","crypto","sports","science-tech","entertainment"],"type":"string"},"min_liquidity":{"type":"number","maximum":1,"minimum":0,"description":"Minimum liquidity_score (0–1)"}}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object","required":["data","meta"],"properties":{"data":{"type":"object","required":["movers"],"properties":{"movers":{"type":"array","items":{"type":"object","required":["slug","question","p_now","p_prev","delta","volume_surge_ratio","category"],"properties":{"slug":{"type":"string"},"delta":{"type":"number"},"p_now":{"type":"number","maximum":1,"minimum":0},"p_prev":{"type":"number","maximum":1,"minimum":0},"category":{"type":"string"},"question":{"type":"string"},"volume_surge_ratio":{"type":"number"}},"additionalProperties":false}}},"additionalProperties":false},"meta":{"type":"object"}}}}}}}}},"description":"Biggest US politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in US politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to US politics markets.","lastUpdated":"2026-09-01T13:22:29.619Z","serviceName":"x402-factory","x402Version":2}]}}