{"api":"v1","generated_at":"2026-09-15T18:51:23.643Z","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"TOLL, with a link to the page cited"},"page":"https://tollindex.com/e/graphadvocate-com-kalshi-consensus-trend-a39c9a","pinned_page":"https://tollindex.com/e/graphadvocate-com-kalshi-consensus-trend-a39c9a/at/2026-09-15T16-57Z","pinned":false,"method":"https://tollindex.com/ledger/method","snapshot_at":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","snapshot_stamp":"2026-09-15T16-57Z","endpoint":{"slug":"graphadvocate-com-kalshi-consensus-trend-a39c9a","canonical_url":"https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trend","resource":"https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trend","http_method":"POST","type":"http","x402_version":2,"registries":["cdp"],"primary_registry":"cdp","curated_by_coinbase":false,"description":"Kalshi consensus-probability trajectory. POST {event}. Wraps Kalshi's unique /events/{ticker}/forecast_history (no other PM exposes formatted forecast percentile history). Returns slope-per-hour over 24h and 3d, acceleration signal (regime change indicator), volatility band, days to resolve, and a stable/accelerating-up/accelerating-down interpretation.","service_name":null,"declared_category":null,"declared_tags":[],"route_template":null,"registry_updated":"2026-09-12T00:24:57.782Z"},"derived":{"note":"fields no registry supplies; TOLL derives them and marks them derived on the page","title":"kalshi consensus trend","category":"market-data","first_observed_by_toll":"2026-09-12T10:44:49.990Z","last_observed_by_toll":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","observation_began":"2026-09-10"},"presence":{"listed_now":true,"first_absent_at":null,"delisting_confirmed_at":null,"events":[{"registry":"cdp","at":"2026-09-12T10:44:49.991Z","event":"listed"}]},"accepts":[{"registry":"cdp","ordinal":0,"network":"eip155:8453","asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","asset_name":"USD Coin","symbol":"USDC","decimals":6,"amount_display":"0.05 USDC","amount_units":0.05,"decimals_known":true,"pay_to":"0x0FF5A6ecef783BBA35463ec2F8403B9B5e9e7C86","scheme":"exact"}],"counters":{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","calls_30d":1,"unique_payers_30d":1,"last_called_at":"2026-09-12T00:24:57.562Z"},"validation":{"latest":{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T06:05:21.774Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"endpoint_http_status":402,"run_id":"daily-2026-09-15"},"uptime":[{"days":7,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1},{"days":30,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1},{"days":90,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1}],"history_90d":[{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T06:05:21.774Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-15","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-14T05:36:31.602Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-14","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-13T05:30:28.122Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-13","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-12T13:54:39.999Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-12","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-12T10:48:50.059Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"new-2026-09-12T10-48-28-179Z","state_changed":true}]},"seller":{"wallet":"0x0FF5A6ecef783BBA35463ec2F8403B9B5e9e7C86","page":"https://tollindex.com/seller/0x0FF5A6ecef783BBA35463ec2F8403B9B5e9e7C86","endpoints":11,"hosts":1},"reports":0,"registry_record":{"cdp":[{"type":"http","accepts":[{"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","extra":{"name":"USD Coin","version":"2"},"payTo":"0x0FF5A6ecef783BBA35463ec2F8403B9B5e9e7C86","amount":"50000","scheme":"exact","network":"eip155:8453","maxTimeoutSeconds":300}],"quality":{"lastCalledAt":"2026-09-12T00:24:57.562Z","l30DaysTotalCalls":1,"l30DaysUniquePayers":1},"resource":"https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trend","extensions":{"bazaar":{"info":{"input":{"body":{"event":"KXELONMARS-99"},"type":"http","method":"POST","bodyType":"json"},"output":{"type":"json","example":{"event_title":"Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?","interpretation":"accelerating-down","days_to_resolve":3287.4,"slope_per_hour_3d":-0.0001,"slope_per_hour_24h":-0.0004,"acceleration_signal":-0.0003,"kalshi_event_ticker":"KXELONMARS-99","volatility_24h_stdev":0.012,"consensus_probability_now":0.18}}},"schema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method","bodyType","body"],"properties":{"body":{"type":"object","required":["event"],"properties":{"event":{"type":"string","description":"Kalshi event ticker (e.g. KXFOO-23)"}}},"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["POST","PUT","PATCH"],"type":"string"},"bodyType":{"enum":["json","form-data","text"],"type":"string"}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object"}}}}}}},"description":"Kalshi consensus-probability trajectory. POST {event}. Wraps Kalshi's unique /events/{ticker}/forecast_history (no other PM exposes formatted forecast percentile history). Returns slope-per-hour over 24h and 3d, acceleration signal (regime change indicator), volatility band, days to resolve, and a stable/accelerating-up/accelerating-down interpretation.","lastUpdated":"2026-09-12T00:24:57.782Z","x402Version":2}]}}