{"api":"v1","generated_at":"2026-09-15T19:07:00.383Z","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"TOLL, with a link to the page cited"},"page":"https://tollindex.com/e/apexrunner-ai-signals-cross-asset-contagion-f4e66f","pinned_page":"https://tollindex.com/e/apexrunner-ai-signals-cross-asset-contagion-f4e66f/at/2026-09-15T16-57Z","pinned":false,"method":"https://tollindex.com/ledger/method","snapshot_at":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","snapshot_stamp":"2026-09-15T16-57Z","endpoint":{"slug":"apexrunner-ai-signals-cross-asset-contagion-f4e66f","canonical_url":"https://apexrunner.ai/signals/cross-asset-contagion","resource":"https://apexrunner.ai/signals/cross-asset-contagion","http_method":"GET","type":"http","x402_version":2,"registries":["cdp"],"primary_registry":"cdp","curated_by_coinbase":false,"description":"APEX Runner: Cross Asset Contagion Signal","service_name":null,"declared_category":"trading-signals","declared_tags":[],"route_template":null,"registry_updated":"2026-09-08T23:55:10.250Z"},"derived":{"note":"fields no registry supplies; TOLL derives them and marks them derived on the page","title":"signals cross asset contagion","category":"market-data","first_observed_by_toll":"2026-09-10T19:08:24.178Z","last_observed_by_toll":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","observation_began":"2026-09-10"},"presence":{"listed_now":true,"first_absent_at":null,"delisting_confirmed_at":null,"events":[{"registry":"cdp","at":"2026-09-10T19:08:24.178Z","event":"listed"}]},"accepts":[{"registry":"cdp","ordinal":0,"network":"eip155:8453","asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","asset_name":"USD Coin","symbol":"USDC","decimals":6,"amount_display":"0.007 USDC","amount_units":0.007,"decimals_known":true,"pay_to":"0x8D0663BBb967ebF1c047405A888DDf865f3E8854","scheme":"exact"}],"counters":{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T16:57:44.360Z","calls_30d":1,"unique_payers_30d":1,"last_called_at":"2026-09-08T23:55:10.023Z"},"validation":{"latest":{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T07:02:36.776Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"endpoint_http_status":402,"run_id":"daily-2026-09-15"},"uptime":[{"days":7,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1},{"days":30,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1},{"days":90,"observed":5,"passed":5,"ratio":1}],"history_90d":[{"observed_at":"2026-09-15T07:02:36.776Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-15","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-14T06:29:15.366Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-14","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-13T06:18:38.247Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-13","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-12T09:42:25.303Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-12","state_changed":false},{"observed_at":"2026-09-11T14:47:19.898Z","state":"pass","failed_checks":[],"run_id":"daily-2026-09-11","state_changed":true}]},"seller":{"wallet":"0x8D0663BBb967ebF1c047405A888DDf865f3E8854","page":"https://tollindex.com/seller/0x8D0663BBb967ebF1c047405A888DDf865f3E8854","endpoints":52,"hosts":1},"reports":0,"registry_record":{"cdp":[{"type":"http","accepts":[{"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","extra":{"name":"USD Coin","version":"2"},"payTo":"0x8D0663BBb967ebF1c047405A888DDf865f3E8854","amount":"7000","scheme":"exact","network":"eip155:8453","maxAmountRequired":"7000","maxTimeoutSeconds":300}],"quality":{"lastCalledAt":"2026-09-08T23:55:10.023Z","l30DaysTotalCalls":1,"l30DaysUniquePayers":1},"resource":"https://apexrunner.ai/signals/cross-asset-contagion","extensions":{"bazaar":{"info":{"input":{"type":"http","method":"GET"},"output":{"type":"json","example":{"btc_move_4h_pct":-3.1,"contagion_active":true,"contagion_severity":"MODERATE","recommended_action":"REDUCE_EXPOSURE"},"predictions":"object — keyed by coin (ETH/SOL/AVAX), each with predicted_move_pct, lag_minutes, confidence, historical_correlation","btc_move_1h_pct":"float — BTC price change % over last 1 hour","btc_move_4h_pct":"float — BTC price change % over last 4 hours","contagion_active":"boolean — true when abs(4h move) >= 1.5%","data_points_used":"integer — HL grid fills analyzed for correlation","contagion_severity":"string — LOW / MODERATE / HIGH / EXTREME","recommended_action":"string — REDUCE_EXPOSURE / HEDGE_ALTS / SCALE_IN / MONITOR"},"why_apex":{"live_system":"APEX trades real capital 24/7 on Kraken, Coinbase, and Hyperliquid simultaneously","self_evolving":"AI evolution engine runs nightly, signal logic improves from real outcomes","multi_exchange":"Cross-exchange data synthesis unavailable from any single-venue provider","not_backtested":"All signals derived from live order flow — 2,988 real grid trades, 82.8% win rate across Kraken, Coinbase, and Hyperliquid"}},"name":"APEX Cross-Asset Contagion","schema":{"type":"object","properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["method"],"properties":{"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{}}}},"output":{"type":"object","properties":{"example":{"type":"object","properties":{"_apex":{"type":"object","properties":{"signal":{"type":"string"},"source":{"type":"string"},"version":{"type":"string"},"instance":{"type":"string"},"verify_at":{"type":"string"},"signal_hash":{"type":"string"},"live_trading":{"type":"boolean"},"evolution_runs":{"type":"integer"},"live_capital_deployed":{"type":"boolean"},"trades_backing_signal":{"type":"integer"}}},"timestamp":{"type":"string"},"predictions":{"type":"object","additionalProperties":{"type":"object","properties":{"confidence":{"type":"number"},"lag_minutes":{"type":"integer"},"correlation_source":{"type":"string"},"predicted_move_pct":{"type":"number"},"historical_correlation":{"type":"number"}}}},"btc_move_1h_pct":{"type":"number"},"btc_move_4h_pct":{"type":"number"},"contagion_active":{"type":"boolean"},"data_points_used":{"type":"integer"},"valid_for_seconds":{"type":"integer"},"contagion_severity":{"type":"string"},"correlation_source":{"type":"string"},"recommended_action":{"type":"string"}}}}}}},"example":{"predictions":{"ETH":{"confidence":0.72,"lag_minutes":8,"predicted_move_pct":-2.1,"historical_correlation":0.91}},"btc_move_1h_pct":-2.3,"btc_move_4h_pct":-3.1,"contagion_active":true,"data_points_used":268,"valid_for_seconds":900,"contagion_severity":"MODERATE","recommended_action":"REDUCE_EXPOSURE"},"version":"1.0.0","category":"trading-signals","description":"Exotic signal at $15. When BTC moves sharply, predicts ETH/SOL/AVAX response magnitude and lag based on APEX's real cross-exchange grid fill timing observations. Returns predicted move % and lag minutes per coin. Price correlation derived from Kraken live exchange data — same venue APEX trades on.","outputSchema":{"predictions":"object","btc_move_4h_pct":"float","contagion_active":"boolean","contagion_severity":"string","recommended_action":"string"}}},"description":"APEX Runner: Cross Asset Contagion Signal","lastUpdated":"2026-09-08T23:55:10.25Z","x402Version":2}]}}